New research
In the dynamic world of digital marketing, understanding the real impact of your advertising efforts is crucial. A recent study conducted in collaboration with TikTok, the digital agency Precis, and the measurement platform Alvie sheds light on how traditional attribution models may significantly undervalue TikTok's contribution to e-commerce success.

A Nordic study across 10 e-commerce brands found advanced attribution measured TikTok ROI at 10.7x higher than Last Non-Direct Click, with a 26% lift in branded search after activations; consistent presence, authentic creative, and stronger measurement were key.
Traditional attribution models, like the Last Non-Direct Click (LNDC), often credit the final touchpoint before a conversion, overlooking the influence of upper and mid-funnel activities. This approach can misrepresent the effectiveness of platforms that excel in brand discovery and consideration phases. The study analyzed data from ten Nordic e-commerce brands across fashion, home goods, and consumer products. By deploying advanced attribution methods, the research revealed that TikTok's Return on Investment (ROI) is, on average, 10.7 times higher than what LNDC models suggest.
TikTok's unique content ecosystem fosters authentic engagement, making it a powerful tool throughout the customer journey. The study's findings highlight TikTok's effectiveness across various campaign objectives:
Brand Awareness Campaigns: Achieved a median ROI of 2.6.
Consideration Campaigns: Yielded a median ROI of 3.9.
Conversion Campaigns: Delivered a median ROI of 3.1.
Additionally, brands observed a 26% increase in branded search activity within one to two months following TikTok campaign activations, indicating a significant halo effect.
The study identified key practices among brands that maximized their TikTok ROI:
Always-On Approach: Maintaining a consistent presence rather than sporadic campaigns.
Authentic Content: Utilizing User-Generated Content (UGC) and native-style creatives that resonate with the TikTok community.
Engaging Storytelling: Crafting narratives that align with TikTok's storytelling frameworks, such as "Results First & Work Backwards" and "Built into Routine."
Optimized Video Length: Producing videos longer than 15 seconds with compelling hooks to capture and retain viewer attention.
These strategies align with TikTok's emphasis on authenticity and creative storytelling, as outlined in our Creative Strategy Guide for Small Businesses
To truly capture TikTok's value, it's essential to move beyond traditional attribution models. Advanced measurement tools, like Alvie, provide a more comprehensive view of how TikTok influences the customer journey, from initial discovery to final conversion. By adopting these advanced analytics, brands can make informed decisions, optimize their strategies, and fully leverage TikTok's potential as a growth engine.
Leveraging MMM and Causal Impact methodologies, across ten leading Nordic Ecommerce brands, this very robust study not only confirms TikTok's ROI to be significantly higher than what traditional last-click models capture - it highlights TikTok’s unique strength in driving early demand, with ROI for both brand awareness and consideration campaigns outperforming other social platforms. It validates what we see every day: TikTok helps brands spark discovery and move audiences meaningfully closer to conversion, making it an essential engine for upper- and mid-funnel growth.
Discover how your brand can harness TikTok's full potential by exploring our Creative Strategy Guide and Storytelling Frameworks.
Click here to read more about the key findings from this study; "What last click missed".
Note: This blog post is based on a collaborative study between TikTok, Precis, and Alvie, focusing on Nordic e-commerce brands. For more detailed insights and case studies, please contact our team.
Last Non-Direct Click models credit the final touchpoint before conversion, so they can overlook upper- and mid-funnel influence. In this study of ten Nordic e-commerce brands, advanced attribution showed TikTok ROI was 10.7 times higher on average than LNDC suggested.
Median ROI reached 2.6 for brand awareness campaigns, 3.9 for consideration campaigns, and 3.1 for conversion campaigns. Brands also saw a 26% rise in branded search activity within one to two months after TikTok campaign activations.
Common patterns included an always-on presence, authentic UGC and TikTok-first creative, storytelling frameworks such as “Results First & Work Backwards” and “Built into Routine,” and videos longer than 15 seconds with strong hooks. We also point to the Creative Strategy Guide and Storytelling Frameworks for next steps.